In February 1975, the industry's leading geneticists gathered in a small town on the coast of central California, where they discussed their work will not lead to the end of the world. At the time, genetic engineering had just begun, and those who were at the forefront of science feared that their manipulation of DNA would affect the future of Earth and humanity.
The conference also celebrated the Asilomar Conference Center in that town, which later became the scientific name for the guiding principle of genetic engineering. This principle established a strict ethical framework for biotechnology and it was the end of the world. Firewall.
42 years later, Ai Si Rome also ushered in a group of scientists. The core of their discussion is also related to the end of the world, but this may lead to the end of the world is not biotechnology, but artificial intelligence.
In January this year, the world's top artificial intelligence researchers gathered in this extraordinary conference hall to discuss the impact of artificial intelligence on the fate of humankind. The meeting was originally conducted in secret, but in recent days the conference organizers released several sessions of video. Some participants also expressed their opinions on their discussions, giving us a chance to get a glimpse of the industry’s true view of the AI ​​threat. .
Just as 42 years ago, after a debate, these top experts formulated their own guiding principles in order to prevent artificial intelligence from getting out of human control. However, some participating experts are not worried that AI has evolved into Skynet in Terminator. They are more worried about the impact of these ultra-intelligence on our economy.
“I don’t like the opinions of some experts on the so-called hyper-intelligence, because their views are too practical,†said Ezioni, CEO of the artificial intelligence department at Allen Institute. "We should be less illusionary and more focused on the moment."
Interestingly, during the current meeting, the new President of the United States, Trump, is revitalizing a manufacturing revival movement in China. However, these AI experts know that with the development of artificial intelligence technology, these manufacturing jobs are accompanied by many other Work will completely disappear in the future.
Thus, in Isroma, the experts found the main reasons for the hollowing out of the middle class in the United States. The so-called immigration, supervision, taxation, and offshore outsourcing are all scapegoats. The real big Boss is technology.
Human uprising against the machine?
The peak period of the US manufacturing industry was 1979, and the number of manufacturing employment fell year after year. However, the amount of product manufactured in the United States has not declined, but has increased year by year. It is still the world's second largest manufacturing country after China. The machines not only replaced the humans on the production line, their "artisan spirit" is stronger than humans. MIT economist Andrew McPhee said: "I am not worried that the Terminator will rule the world. On the contrary, if the current trend continues, humans may launch an uprising earlier than the machine."
McPhee pointed out that the latest data show that since the 1980s, the American middle class positions have been greatly reduced. Today's job market is either a low-paid job or a high-end job that makes big money. In addition, he also said that this trend has been irreversible. McPhee's idea got everyone's approval, but many experts said that this trend will come faster than McPhee predicted, and AI will dominate this revolution.
We are familiar with AI applications such as self-driving cars are just the beginning, the future of the technology will bring drastic changes, manufacturing, health care and even Wall Street are "inaccessible." In other words, it's not just the blue-collar worker's rice bowl that the AI ​​is going to swallow. Everyone is actually not safe. McPhee said: "Even so, many AI Da Ni also repeatedly expressed that I underestimated the potential of AI."
In response to this threat, many experts believe that the government should give basic income to those who are replaced by AI in order to guarantee their basic lives. However, McPhee believes that this will make the problem even worse, because it will deprive the public of the enthusiasm of the work, and entrepreneurs are even less interested in creating new jobs.
Ezioni agrees with this view. He believes that the so-called basic income cannot bring people dignity. This part of the people will only continue to fall.
In addition, AI experts are concerned that Trump will start a historic reversal and that automation and artificial intelligence will be used to rejuvenate the manufacturing industry. This will not only hinder the development of technology, but will also harm the US economy. If AI development in the United States lags behind, other countries will naturally come from behind.
Although the discussion of the Athroma Conference Center was remarkable, no one could finally say how to prevent the economic upheaval. "Anyone who wants to predict the future of artificial intelligence is not deceiving himself or deceiving others," McPhee said.
However, experts said they will continue to explore the answers to the questions. "Although people have different views on this issue, everyone really cares very much," Ezioni said. "Bringing the traditional manufacturing industry back to the United States in large numbers is an idiot's dream, and the same is true for preventing the rise of AI."
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